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SensusQ analysis on the Shahed-131/136/238 one-way attack UAVs

Previously, we’ve discussed the Orlan-10, the so-called Cartographer and ZALA Aero Group's 421-16E, 421-16E2, and 421-16EM reconnaissance UAVs as well as the Lastochka and ZALA Lancet loitering munitions. In this article, we take an in-depth look at the analysis of the HESA Shahed-136, Shahed-131 and Shahed-238 OWA UAVs, which provides insight into the development of military technologies used by Russia.

Ukrainian troops withdrawal from Avdiivka

Russian air superiority and foggy weather may have forced Ukrainian troops to retreat from Avdiivka earlier than planned. The early and well-executed withdrawal from Avdiivka may turn out to be less of a propaganda victory for president Putin than he had hoped. Avdiivka lost its strategic importance already after it was operationally encircled. Modern air defence systems and fighter aircraft are needed to prevent Russians from using guided bombs.

SensusQ secures the first defence technology investment from Specialist VC

Leading venture capital firm backs SensusQ

SensusQ analysis on the Russian Ilyushin-76 military transport aircraft destroyed in Belgorod oblast on January 24, 2024.

It is almost impossible that the crashed plane was the Il-76MD with the tail number RA-78830. It is highly unlikely that there were only 3 escorts on board for 65 PoW. Russia has not released any solid evidence that PoWs were on board the downed aircraft

Top military trends in Russia's war on Ukraine in 2023

Russia has intensified strikes of Iranian-origin Shahed-136/131 munitions, while Ukraine has taken its anti-UAV measures to the next level. Russia has launched significantly fewer effective missile strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure than during the past winter. Russia has greatly increased its use of guided aerial bombs, but with the arrival of F-16 fighter jets, this tactic will be phased out in the near term. Russia’s war in Ukraine has seen the most intensive use of UAVs in military conflicts in history, marking a shift in combat tactics and technology. The role of armoured vehicles on the battlefield has changed and decreased.

SensusQ Relocates Sales and Marketing Operations to the UK, Strengthening UK-Estonia Defense Ties

SensusQ, a military intelligence company, has established a UK branch to enhance collaboration between the United Kingdom and Estonia, strengthening NATO ties. The company, employing many veterans and reservists, prioritizes digitalization in defense and aims to expedite intelligence analysis for NATO members. Its software, Winning Mind, streamlines intelligence processes, saving time and currently used in NATO countries and Ukraine. SensusQ's UK expansion reflects Estonia's defence industry growth, emphasizing innovation and international market integration. The firm plans to partner with UK defense entities, maintaining its Estonian headquarters and focusing on Central and Eastern Europe.

Why Russia is not learning from their mistakes

Edgar Schein's Career Anchors Theory suggests that a person's life experiences allow them to form a more accurate and stable "career self-concept." Technical/functional competence is one of the most widely valued career anchors in many countries around the world. A recent study shows that technical/functional competence is not a popular career anchor in Russia.

SensusQ analysis on the ZALA-421- 16E, ZALA-421-16E2 and ZALA-421- 16EM reconnaissance UAVs

In earlier articles, we described the Orlan-10 and so-called Cartographer reconnaissance UAVs as well as the Lastochka and ZALA Lancet loitering munition. In this article, we take an in-depth look at the analysis of the ZALA Aero Group's 421-16E, 421-16E2 and 421-16EM UAVs, which offers insight into the development of Russian military technology.

Is a successful mutiny possible in Russia?

The assassination of the Wagner leadership is likely to serve as a standing threat to those who intend to create parallel military structures reminiscent of Wagner.

UAV hit a 42-storey skyscraper in the Moscow-City for a second time

Tonight, a UAV hit the same 42-storey skyscraper in the Moscow-City quarter at 10 Presnenskaya Naberezhnaya that was hit two nights ago. The building houses seven Russian ministries and departments. The attached footage clearly shows the hole that formed tonight in the centre section of the glass wall above, and the larger hole formed two nights earlier in the corner of the building about ten floors below.

SensusQ analysis: Why Yevgeny Prigozhin started his “march for justice”?

Yevgeny Prigozhin published an interview in which he accused the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) and unnamed oligarchs of deceiving Putin and the Russian public. Prigozhin decided to launch a desperate act in an attempt to get the Russian military leadership replaced with his own loyalists and get one step closer to his ultimate goal and hoped that control of the Russian army would pass to his loyal supporters, Mizintsev and Surovikin, in order to create better conditions for a successful coup.

SensusQ to bolster Ukraine’s digital capabilities

SensusQ has been awarded a grant by the Estonian Centre for International Development (ESTDEV). We aim to bolster Ukraine’s digital capabilities by using Estonian know-how of digitalising state processes to help the State Border Guard of Ukraine to digitise their information collection and analysis.

SensusQ recognized as Supporter of Defenders of the State

SensusQ is proud to announce that it has been recognized as one of the 50 companies to receive the prestigious Supporter of the Defenders of the State award in Estonia. The award was given out for the first time in history.

NATO acceleration program DIANA launches in Estonia

On the 19th of June, Tehnopol held a launch event of the NATO Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA) acceleration program in Estonia by introducing this year’s challenges and Estonian defence and dual-use startups.

Latitude59: Live showcase of defence solutions in the outskirts of Tallinn.

Invest in Estonia and Defence Estonia bring Latitude59 to Männiku quarry for a showcase of world-class solutions from defence and cyber security from Estonia.

SensusQ contributing to the digital development of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine

The Estonian Centre for International Development (ESTDEV) has awarded SensusQ as the contributor of digital development of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine.

SensusQ intelligence management platform supporting 14,000 troops at Spring Storm exercise.

Estonia's largest defense training exercise Spring Storm started on Monday and will last until May 26. Approximately, 14,000 personnel will take part. For the first time ever, the forces are testing out a digital replacement for the standard processes of intelligence collection. SensusQ provides the forces with an intelligence management software that provides timely information throughout the exercise.

SensusQ software showcased in a live demonstration with the Ministry of Defence Croatia and Army.

SensusQ intelligence system integrated with the virtual reality solutions from Vegvisir and Orqa FPV showcased in a live demonstration with the Ministry of Defense Croatia and Croatian Army at the Petrinja military barracks and the surrounding grounds.

SensusQ analysis: Head of Wagner Group warns of impending defeat in Ukraine

Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner Group, has warned that the mercenary group could soon cease to exist as it runs out of ammunition and fighters, and has suggested that it may withdraw from the fight in Ukraine. Prigozhin’s comments appear to be an attempt to shift responsibility for any failure from himself onto the Russian Ministry of Defence. The US government estimates that 20,000 of the 100,000 Russian military casualties in the past five months in Ukraine have been among Wagner fighters. Despite the group’s heavy losses, Prigozhin has continued to tout Wagner as the best military unit in the world.

Streamlining Military Operations: SensusQ Saves 30% of Time Compared to Current Methods

In this case study, we examine the effectiveness of the SensusQ intelligence management platform in supporting common intelligence functions carried out by intel support teams. Through a workshop exercise, we compared the SensusQ platform to current methods used in the industry, finding that SensusQ saved up to 30% of time while generating data that was more detailed, precise, and comprehensive. These results demonstrate the potential of the SensusQ platform to transform military planning and execution, leading to improved outcomes and enhanced performance in the field.

Combination of the Synthetically Generated Data-sets and XAI Techniques to Provide Transparency and Robustness of the AI-powered Defence Systems

As a response to the European Defence Agency call for industry, academia and RTO inputs on their views regarding how AI should be trusted for safe use in Defence Applications, Dr. Sven Nõmm, Head of AI/ML at SensusQ and Dr. Adrian Venables, Information Operations Scientific Advisor at SensusQ have published a paper suggesting using explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) and synthetic data sets to make AI-based defence systems more transparent and reliable by providing insight about the failures of the model and drawbacks of the data preparation procedure.

Impact of the death toll in Ukraine on the social situation in Russia

There is a lot of uncertainty about the death toll in Ukraine. While the Russian invasion of Ukraine paradoxically increases the wellbeing of Russians, it is unlikely that the increase in the death toll will deter Putin's war aims.

SensusQ analysis on the ZALA Lancet

The ZALA Lancets have conducted several successful precision strikes on various Ukrainian military targets, mostly in October and November last year and seem to be one of the most effective precise munitions in Russia’s arsenal at present. However, due to their limited production, ZALA Lancets will remain rather a propaganda tool than a strategic game changer in Russia's offensive campaign in Ukraine.

The changing landscape of air-defense

The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine demonstrates the strategic shift in air warfare from direct attacks by bombers to standoff attacks using missiles. The ground-based air defenses have yet to embrace this change. Legacy air defenses were designed to defeat the weapon carriers – the bombers, strike fighters, and their highly trained aircrews. Unlike the air raids of WWII, flown by thousands of bombers, modern air forces have much fewer aircraft and even fewer bombers.

The second Russian mobilisation

The predicted Russian second wave of mobilisation likely won’t be announced, while covert mobilisation is already occurring. Russia is likely going to use its conscripts on the Ukrainian front more than it has to date. It is unlikely that Russia would be able to properly equip a further 300,000 mobilised soldiers given the current issues it faces with military production.

Russia Behind Bars: Wagner Group’s losses 80 percent of 50K inmate-recruits

Head of the independent Russian human rights organization “Rus Sidyashchaya” (Russia Behind Bars) Olga Romanova claimed on January 23rd that out of the assessed 50,000 prisoners that Wagner has recruited, only 10,000 are fighting on frontlines in Ukraine due to high casualty, surrender, and desertion rates.

SensusQ is participating at IDEX 2023 in Abu Dhabi

SensusQ is participating at IDEX 2023 from the 20th to 24th of February in ADNEC, Abu Dhabi to showcase intelligence management solutions and connect with the international defence sector audience across various domains.

Putin's re-shuffle of top generals will most likely hamper Wagner Group's combat capabilities in the future

Gerasimov’s appointment as the theatre commander likely does not affect Russian military performance in Ukraine. The elevation of Gerasimov over Surovikin was rather a political decision to reassert the primacy of the Russian MoD in an internal Russian power struggle. The battle of Soledar is likely to remain the Wagner Group’s most significant military achievement in Ukraine.

The rise of Ramzan Kadyrov and the Kadyrovites

Supported by a personal army knows as Kadyrovites, Ramzan Kadyrov has ruled Chechnya since 2007. The Kadyrovites have been presented as elite warriors, regularly posting videos on social media with the latest equipment. However, they have proved ineffective in the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Conflicts between Kadyrovites, Russian paratroopers and Wagner mercenaries have further underscored the fractures in Russia’s military. In this brief we cover the historical background of the Kadyrovites and the role they play in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

SensusQ analysis on the Orlan-10

Analysis of the Orlan-10 family of UAVs. The Orlan-10 is the most widely used UAV by the Russian Armed Forces. Primarily a reconnaissance drone it can also carry a variety of payloads including lethal munitions and nuclear fallout sensors. Analysis of its construction reveals a reliance on foreign components the sourcing of which has been marred by corruption scandals.

Former President of Estonia, Toomas Hendrik Ilves joins SensusQ advisory board

SensusQ welcomes former President of Estonia, Toomas Hendrik Ilves to its advisory board. Ilves has a distinguished career as a diplomat, foreign minister, then President of Estonia. Ilves is a leading global campaigner calling for unified action against hybrid warfare, highlighting the need for states to adopt new technologies to effectively counter non-kinetic threats from cyber-attacks to disinformation.

SensusQ UAV analysis on the Orlan-20

Analysis of an unnamed UAV that has been sighted since 2014. The UAV has been dubbed the Orlan-20 due to its similarity to the Orlan-10. Forensic analysis of several captured units has revealed intriguing details that give insight into Russian military research and development.

SensusQ UAV analysis on the Lastochka drone

Analysis of the Lastochka-M UAV captured by Ukrainian forces on July 21, 2022 reveals interesting details of its operational capabilities and how it may be deployed in tandem with much larger Inohodech UAVs. The Lastochka is a relatively new UAV intended for reconnaissance but can be fitted with light armaments and operate in groups.

OSINT in the Russian invasion of Ukraine

In this article we explore social media on the battlefield and look at how social media is impacting OSINT operations. We also look at how in a conflict, governments address the threat of social media platforms owned by foreign governments who may not share common interests with the population of their users.

From disinformation and ‘doomscrolling’ to intelligence collection

In this article we explore how Information Operations achieve Information Advantage and secure Information Dominance. Also examining how new technologies are required to fully exploit multi-source intelligence flows in real time operations.

Information Advantage, Operations, Activities, Information everything - what’s the difference?

This article explores the development of doctrines surrounding Information Advantage & Information operations. Exploring how these doctrines work with new technologies and human processes and how this impacts development at SensusQ.

Decision making challenges in military, police, and law enforcement - defining the problem

We live in the age of technology and information. We have more devices, processing power, data, ways and means than ever before to process and analyse data, but decision making often still fails in critical moments due to a lack of context of the situation and environment in which we operate.